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« Reunion Arena and Texas Stadium: Could they blow up in a movie? | Main | It's the economy, stupid »

Box office buzz

4:21 PM Tue, Aug 19, 2008 |  | 
Stephen Becker   E-mail   News tips

Down goes Batman! Down goes Batman!
It took a fake army platoon to do it, but The Dark Knight was finally taken down last weekend. Tropic Thunder, the Ben Stiller-directed tale of actors shooting a war movie who find themselves involved in real combat, took in $25.8 million in its first weekend, besting Batman by $9 million.

The up side
Wednesday has turned into the new Friday during August, and opening a film midweek has so far proved a smart move by studios. Tropic Thunder earned $11 million last week before Friday even got here while Pineapple Express, another hump-day opener, made $18 million on its two pre-weekend days.
Bomb Squad
All of the new wide releases did reasonably well, so everyone gets a pass from the Squad this week.
Swami Sez
Swami should be more careful spending your money.
Prediction: Tropic Thunder earns $45 million in its first five days.
Result: Overshot the total by about $9 million, but it did unseat Batman.
Prediction: Star Wars: The Clone Wars earns $21 million and the No. 2 spot.
Result: Not the numbers you're used to for a Star Wars film, $14.6 million and a third-place finish.
Keeping the expectations low
This weekend is traditionally one of the true dumping-ground weekends. During the same frame last year, the highest-grossing new release was Mr. Bean's Holiday, and it came in at No, 4 with $9.9 million. So that doesn't bode well for the weekend's new releases.
Prediction: Death Race tops all new releases with $15 million.
'Tropic,' take two
So will Death Race's $15 million be enough to earn the top spot? If, again, looking at last year's totals for the same weekend are any indication, the odds are slim.
Prediction: Tropic Thunder remains on top with $17 million.



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